HomeUncategorizedSpring Warmth Brings Flooding Risk For Upper Midwest / Northeast Next Week

Spring Warmth Brings Flooding Risk For Upper Midwest / Northeast Next Week

We know the “lottery” of where the snowfall – outside of the West (they were winners, obviously) – happened across the Northern Plains and throughout the inland Northeast. The latter is aimed more at upstate NY (lake effect events we’ve seen) and more recently Maine. This is over the past 60 days, when we see more than 1-2 feet of snow have fallen thanks to an active northward-moving storm path with favorable cold air present.

There is certainly a strong consensus among populations that an average ridge of 2-3 standard deviations forms first across Intermountain West, then shifts eastward through the northern stratum of CONUS. While verbatim a model will certainly feel like a real Spring (with snow activity decreasing next week except for the higher western elevations as you might have guessed), this model also supports snow melts fast.

Here, we’re looking at starting next Monday, the first higher-than-normal temperatures across the Northern Plains and northern parts of the Western Intermountain/Great Basin. We’re looking at anywhere from 5 to at most 20 degrees above average! This means that people in their 50s, 60s and even 70s are spreading across these regions. Then, as the week went on, we saw these above-average temperatures prevail in the Midwest, Ohio Valley, then shift into the Northeast, bringing temperatures 10-20 degrees above normal. This causes it to enter the inner Northeast in the middle of next week and last through the end of the week.

This has hydrological implications as the snow melts faster, and this then allows water to overflow into nearby rivers, creeks and streams. Banks are overrun, and this then inundates low-lying, flood-prone areas. So, if you know or may know people who live in these general areas, then I strongly recommend that you prepare for flooding and take preventive action (or overcome it) to prepare for it. what is likely to happen with widespread snowfall and rapid currents next week.

About the author

Armando Salvador

Hello! My name is Armando Salvadore and I am a Mississippi State graduate with a Bachelor of Professional Meteorology and an Activity Meteorologist working in the Private Sector. Stay tuned if you like technical, exotic, and general weather tweets! Also big on long-range forecasting as well! Twitter: @KaptMands


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